Wednesday 28 November 2012

Scientific Realism as an Unnecessary Ontology


Scientific Realism as an Unnecessary Ontology

In any case, I hate everything that merely instructs me without augmenting or directly invigorating my activity.” – Goethe (Nietzsche 59)

            After the decline of logical positivism in the mid-20th century some philosophers seemed to conclude that, insofar as the movement that argued for scientific anti-realism was exposed as bankrupt, this entailed the bankruptcy of anti-realism itself and heralded an era of scientific realism. Various attempts to ground scientific realism ensued. In this essay, I will assess the problem of scientific realism by a) unpacking notable attempts at grounding science as literal truth, b) highlighting the logical limitations inherent in these views, and c) highlighting the underlying epistemological problems with scientific realism. I will then argue against scientific realism by a) providing an anti-realist picture of a science, in opposition to the literal sense of science applied by Putnam and others, that does not require ontological commitments and yet retains predictive power, and b) arguing that scientific realism is incongruous with scientific activity and progress on methodological grounds.
Scientific Realism
Any paper purporting to assess scientific realism must begin with an initial clarification as to the meaning of scientific realism; scientific realism must be parsed to understand what is contained within it as a concept. This concept gives rise to two further concepts: science and realism. Insofar as this essay will provide a nifty definition of science at its closure, for the sake of clarity, I will define science in relation to realism and not vice-versa. Realism is the notion that there is a world, and scientific realism is the notion that the content of science, in the sense of the formulas it provides, can possess the quality of providing an explanation of the world. In Arguments Concerning Scientific Realism, Bas C. Van Fraassen provides a definition of scientific realism that follows this one to some extent: “Scientific realism is the position that scientific theory construction aims to give us a literally true story of what the world is like, and that acceptance of a scientific theory as truth involves the belief that it is true.” (Curd 1067) This definition provides a soft notion of scientific realism insofar as science aims to provide truth and perhaps has not at this point; by saying Science can provide an ultimate picture of science, one avoids ‘pessimistic induction’ (the notion that insofar as theories have been disproven throughout history entails inductively that it will never provide an ultimate picture of reality) ; this definition makes no claim about the theories of today, it is a much more general claim about the potential epistemological and ontological capabilities of scientific theory in general.
 If one where to pose scientific realism as a question, that question would be: is an ultimate explanation of the world reducible to thought, and can science create this thought? More explicitly: Science creates theories; can these theories provide complete explanations insofar as something in the form of ‘E=MC2’ is ontologically significant and meaningful?
            Attempts at grounding scientific realism
            One of the famous attempts at grounding scientific realism is Hillary Putnam’s ‘ultimate argument’. According to Putnam, scientific realism can be in some sense proven by virtue of “(it being) the only philosophy of science that doesn’t make the success of science a miracle.” (1083) Simply put, if one claims that science does not provide an explanatory account of the world, insofar as its theories do not provide a literal interpretation of reality, one has no basis on which to explain its success; science on Putnam’s account cannot function successfully if it does not grasp reality as it is. This argument is meant to make scientific realism seem like the only plausible account of scientific discovery, and to reduce anti-realism to absurdity. (It should be noted that the term miracle in this case does not refer to its traditional use; it only implies an extremely high improbability and not a ‘suspension of nature’ by virtue of divine inspiration and/or a lapse in the laws of nature as it is usually meant.) 
While the ultimate argument purports to be robust, as is clear by virtue of its name, I would argue that it fails as an argument insofar as it is not sound; it claims no explanation other than scientific realism can account for the success of the natural sciences when, I would argue, there are good reasons for thinking otherwise. For one, I would argue that there is no logical relation between success and truth; if a theory is built by virtue of an adequate representation of empirical evidence that covers many regularities, there are good reasons for thinking that this theory could be powerful regardless of whether these regularities are posited to exist as aspect of real entities or not, or in fact exist or not. I will expand on the role of empirical adequacy in science later in the essay.
Secondly, it seems that, historically speaking, many theories were once very successful in respect to predictive power. If one existed during the time of pre-Einsteinian physics, then one, using the ultimate argument, would have been committed to the existence of aether; an entity which, while one would have been committed to believe as literal truth by virtue of the ultimate argument, has since then been shown to be empirically inadequate insofar as it does not effectively predict a wide-range of phenomena. Imagine someone in 1875 saying this argument: “Science as I know it is very successful. It’s impossible to conceive of science being successful without it having a correct ontology, and the only alternative to this is that miracles exist. I cannot believe that miracles exist, so I am committed to the proposition that science has a correct ontology. Science has aether within its ontology. I am committed to the existence of aether.”  Any theory of scientific realism that commits one to an empirically inadequate science cannot be correct. The argument is inherently anachronistic insofar as it only works in the present; it’s natural for one to think that the theories of his or her age are the correct ones, but give one a good twenty years of scientific progress and one will have to change his or her mind.
            One of the other attempts to ground science as literal truth is the notion that utility is a good indicator of its explanatory power. This view is, according to Van Fraassen, held by Wilfrid Sellars, C.S Pierce, and Gilbert Harman. The claim as communicated by Sellars is that “to have a good reason for holding a theory is ipso facto to have good reason for holding that the entities postulated by the theory exist”. (1065) The idea is that there is a logical relation between theory and reality insofar as the theory is accepted for ‘good’ reasons. If a theory is accepted on the grounds of utility, simplicity, or elegance, ‘virtues’ which are commonly held to qualify a theory as good, the idea is that one is epistemically justified in believing the theory is a literal representation of the world.    
This attempt to ground science as literal truth, by virtue of the notion that utility is a good indicator of its explanatory power, fails to establish a logical connection between theory and literal explanation of the world. The idea that there is a logical relation between theory and reality insofar as the theory is accepted for ‘good’ reasons is so epistemically weak insofar as the scientific realist is the one who creates the categories in which he claims a theory must fit to be deemed ‘good’; it is hard to see the criteria of utility, simplicity, and elegance supported by science insofar as any good theory of these virtues, on this account, would have to presuppose the things discovered! Not to mention, quantum mechanics has been regularly called ugly and complex and yet remains the most empirically adequate of any theory. And one must ask; who left the door open and let ‘explanatory beauty’ into science?
Fundamental epistemological problems with scientific realism
The biggest problem with scientific realism epistemically, I would argue, is Hume’s notion that there is a separation between the tools one uses to make sense of the world, and whatever that world is or is not. Quine’s understanding of the significance of this epistemological problem is clear when he states that ‘I do not see that we are farther along today than where Hume left us’. (Kornblith 17) I would argue that Quine was justified in his acceptance of the Humean all too human problem of grasping the nature of the world; are we epistemically justified in holding that science provides a correct/true picture of the world insofar as it appears to be something achieved through imagination? For instance, can we assume that our notion of ‘causality’ exists in the world and provides a true picture of it when considering that our notion of causality exists by virtue of the imagination? The problem as stated by Quine is more simply that, while Hume could make statements about sense impressions, ‘general statements (…) gained no increment of certainty by being construed about impressions’. (17) More explicitly, there is no logical relation between sense impressions and the ontological structure of the world. This claim is quite uncontroversial and is even accepted by realists such as Grover Maxwell. (Curd 1061-1062) This problem gains momentum when one considers, as I will do later, recent evidence that supports Hume’s notion of imagination and its role in orchestrating an internal causal picture in the mind.
Science itself leads one to the idea that there are possible limits to the knowledge human beings can have of the world even if one is a realist.  For one, the uncertainty principle appears to show that some things are intrinsically unknowable; if we measure the velocity of a particle for instance, this entails us never knowing its location. Would not a complete picture of the world require knowledge of this? Or is knowledge of the uncertainty principle itself explanatory? The uncertainty principle itself is complex and most particle physicists doubt the ability of human beings to properly think it. While this may not be considered scientific, one can look to Thomas Nagel and argue alongside him that the subjective states of other beings such as bats are not reducible to thought whatsoever; insofar as there is a subjective qualitative experience that is reserved for the individual experiencing it, one cannot gain a complete reductive understanding of at least one category of thing. (Nagel 1976) This would imply yet another ‘fact’ that is unfathomable by human beings and gives weight to a scepticism of any purportedly complete explanatory account of the universe that is reducible to thought.
            Science as reliable mimesis
            In this part of the essay I will develop a position that I believe poses serious problems for the scientific realist position. I will argue that the constructive empiricist view of science as developed by Van Fraassen serves as a basis for, when combined with recent scientific data from Alison Gopnik, what would normally be called a nominalist/instrumentalist view of science, but what I will call a reliable mimesis account of science. This position not only negates the ultimate argument insofar as it shows science to be capable of functioning without a fixed ontology, but it also changes the way one can talk about truth and knowledge within the sciences.
            Van Fraassen’s constructive empiricist notion of science is laid out in his essay Concerning Scientific Realism.  As a response to what he deemed to be the failures of various attempts at scientific realism, Fraassen posits a view of science that has no ontological implications; science is seen as only providing an empirically adequate view of phenomena. For clarity’s sake, here is Fraassen’s position in his own terms: “Science aims to give us theories which are empirically adequate; and acceptance of a theory involves only the belief that it is empirically adequate.” (Curd 1069) What does it mean for a theory to be empirically adequate? A theory is empirically adequate insofar as it can account for, and effectively predict future phenomena; through a cumulative process, science builds towards a more robust theory by developing heuristic after heuristic in the spirit of explaining as much phenomena as possible. These heuristics are passed down either in the form of tactile technology (microscopes, telescopes, thermometers ect.) that increases the human capacity to create an empirically adequate view of phenomena, or abstract technology; namely theoretical tools that aid at providing a formal language for one to speak of such events.
            I will now argue that the quest for empirical adequacy serves the basis for the success of science without the need to resort to scientific realism as the ‘not so’ ultimate argument claims one must. I will now attempt to ground this view within the context of the ‘reliable process’ tradition by arguing that science is the internal manifestation of the evolutionary need for survival; one could see the view of a reliable external mimesis as captured in the reliability of sense perception, in the same way that one could see the internal aspect of this as developed in Gopnik’s ‘theory theory’ in which, from a young age, human beings construct theoretical models on their own in order to make a coherent picture of their experience.
            Internal aspect of reliable mimesis
            In her recent book Causal Learning, Alison Gopnik provides a collection of articles that give a scientific basis for thinking that human beings create a reliable mimesis of the world from a very young age internally. For example, in the article Detecting Causal Structure, Jessica Sommervile claims that “(a) variety of research shows that children have a rich understanding of the causal structure of the physical and psychological world”. (Gopnik 49) This is reportedly done through making theoretical conjectures based on an aggregate of observation evidence; children as early as sixteen months can apparently ‘readily imitate the inferred goals of other, selectively reproduce goal directed acts, and can distinguish between their own goals and those of another person’. (49) While inferences about the minds of others happen at around 16 months, causal learning itself begins at six months: “by six months of age, infants recognize the causal status of Michottian-type launching sequence and distinguish this event from other events that share spatiotemporal properties but are not causal”. (49) I would argue that Gopnik’s research project gives weight to the claim that a) a theory can be successful without having a solid grasp of ontology, and that b) theory building from infancy is constructive through a process of developing an empirical adequate view based on aggregate assumptions from prior events of similar type. Gopnik’s research gives leverage to the idea that children are able to make predictions and pick out regularities quite successfully without resorting to the ontology of science per se insofar as it posits the idea that children use an ‘internal Bayesian learning algorithm’ that allows children to generate ‘observations, interventions, and counter-factuals’ solely by virtue of picking up on regularities in a phenomena and giving them empirical value. (79)  
Constructive empiricists, who I argue all human beings are to some extent, build a mimesis of the world and this helps them survive in it.  There is an external and internal aspect of this process: the sense faculties are an external manifestation of this organism’s need to recreate its environment for the purpose of imbuing beliefs with reliable empirical content, and making synthetic knowledge (theory) that can further increase survivability through reworking the world from the inside; getting a correct enough representation of the world in order to know that if, for example, one uses something called electricity (some phenomena we have a robust model of) and combines it with certain things called materials, which have also been categorised within a rigorous system, one could make something that keeps food over long periods of time. This represents the internal aspect of reliability, and it presupposes an adequate external perceptive faculty that makes the phenomena clear enough to dissect; a robustly sorted phenomenon P implies a potentially more robust synthetic model M of said phenomenon.
            Search for explanation as opposed to adequacy
The search for explanation, or what can be aptly called a search for ‘ontological security’, can lead one to escape the discomforting nature of the world by gracing it with an ontology; one retreats into a supposedly more comforting world and builds a new category of knowledge: explanation, rather than adequacy. This level of explanation implies a firm ontology when coupled with scientific realism. Have we stolen fire in-itself from the gods and do we have knowledge of it? We forget that explanatory knowledge is constructed and not discovered; it isn’t found in the world. Musgrave asks what I believe to be an ultimately revelatory question when asking: ‘does realism bring with it gains that constructive empiricists do not?” (1090). As Musgrave asks, does positing scientific realism benefit science insofar as it concerned with empirical adequacy? Is there anything added in, after saying that E=Mc2, also positing that this refers to real objects that exist? One is tempted to simply reiterate the Kantian doctrine that ‘existence is not a predicate’, coupled with the question: can anything other than a predicate increase the utility or adequacy of a model of phenomena? This is why scientific realism ultimately mistaken; it adds nothing to science whatsoever and in fact can lead to a hindrance within it.
How could scientific realism limit science, or even be against the spirit of it as an activity? I think it is fair to say that human beings continuously blur the lines between experience and belief; one can even go as far to deny experience outright for the sake of retaining one ‘sacred’ belief. One could argue that it is in the interest, or even the ethos, of science to avoid carrying explanatory tools like ontological assumptions into the constructive domain of empirical descriptive enterprise insofar as they could serve to weaken science; scientists could will to retain explanatory power at the expense of reliable mimesis. I would argue that the virtue of science for human beings is the ability it has to grasp phenomenon and help humanity change its mind rather than secure what is believed by the cognisor either through empirical failures at saving the phenomena (discarded theories) or metaphysical abstraction; systematic metaphysical explanation that has no empirical cash value.
Popper’s distinction between the historicist and the social engineer as outlined in the Open Society and its Enemies captures this distinction quite well, and I think can even solve aspects of Van Fraassen’s ‘schizophrenic’ dichotomy. While Van Fraassen argues that one must be a sceptic ex cathedra and a realist in the laboratory, I would argue that one can work effectively in the lab without subscribing to an ontology; one can simply go through the motions as it were with the sole goal of making science more robust; increasing the predictive power of science by either adding to the model of phenomena or deriving some implications from the model and seeing if observation fulfills this. This ethos is captured in the character of the social engineer; someone who only approaches things and accepts things by virtue of their role in fulfilling a present need. (Popper 24) This is contrasted with the historicist, who, instead of thinking about the immediacy or the adequacy of a method in relation to a problem, will look to contextualise the existing scenario within a narrative; he or she will almost take a step back from the problem for the sake of explanation.
While Van Fraassen assumes that the scientist believes that electrons exist in the lab but changes his mind outside the lab, I think it would be more apt to follow Popper and say that the social engineer type simply suspends judgement on the ontological significance of the claims being made ex cathedra and in the cathedral; one can simply follow the motions of science and not ask the ontological question. As it turns out, the best method of overcoming nature is getting to know how it acts- science can be an attempt at grasping the beast that is nature. The historicist, on the other hand, looks backward instead of forward, and attempts to define the present based on previous notions as well as taking these descriptions for granted and not questioning them. This historicist ethos goes hand in hand with scientific realism and is in direct conflict with the ethos of the social engineer; the constructive empiricists that we all are to some extent. The idea that there is a movement in science to do away with the notion of ‘time’ altogether should ultimately be revelatory for the realist; can something like time, what a realist would no doubt purport to be a pristine ontological security, benefit science on its quest for empirical adequacy by being discarded? (Loyd 2007)
            Conclusion
            Given the problems I have raised with the underlying logic of scientific realism and the virtues I’ve noted in relation to constructive empiricism, I think it’s fair to argue that science is a reliable mode human activity in which one builds a mimesis of the external world without positing an ontology. Van Fraassen speaks at one point of the origin of realism within science and I would argue raises and interesting point; “It is not easy to say what is meant by literal construal. The idea perhaps comes from theology (…)”. (Curd 1068) It strikes me as hard to see scientific realism, given science as constructive empiricism, as ever occurring within science given how incongruous scientific realism is with the scientific and rational attitude and practice; what value does a secure and sterile ontology provide a human activity that is grounded in the act of reshaping and so concerned with progress? Essentially, scientific activity is to Scientific Realism what Socrates is to Xenophon; while Xenophon talks about Socrates and makes some true claims about him, he ultimately misses the crux of Socrates' enigma and provides a pedestrian account of his philosophy.



Bibliography:

            Curd, Martin, and J. A. Cover. Philosophy of science: the central issues. New York: W.W. Norton & Co., 1998.

            Gopnik, Alison. Causal learning. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2007. Print.

            Kornblith, Hilary. Naturalizing epistemology. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1985.

            John Lloyd inventories the invisible [Video]. (1987). Retrieved November 12, 2007, from http://www.ted.com/talks/john_lloyd_inventories_the_invisible.html

            Nagel, Thomas. The Philosophical Review, Vol. 83, No. 4. (October 1974), pp. 435-450
           
            Nietzsche, Friedrich, and Daniel Breazeale. Untimely meditations. Cambridge: Cambridge Univ. Press, 1997..

            Popper, Karl R.. The open society and its enemies. 5th ed. London: Routledge & Kegan Paul, 1966. Print.

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